The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia Phillies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as zero days rest, the Philadelphia Phillies are just 106-109-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record106-109-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size215 games
ROI-5.9%
Units Won-12.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-8-00.0%+24.5%
20157-7-00.0%-4.5%
20167-9-00.0%-16.5%
20179-21-00.0%-42.7%
20184-10-00.0%-45.5%
20199-12-00.0%-18.2%
20206-9-00.0%-23.6%
20219-3-00.0%+43.2%
202217-12-00.0%+11.9%
20237-3-00.0%+33.6%
202416-15-00.0%-1.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Phillies' struggles on zero days rest stem from their organizational approach to roster management and player conditioning. Philadelphia has historically relied on veteran-heavy lineups with aging position players who require more recovery time between games. When forced into back-to-back situations, the team often starts backup catchers, rests key offensive contributors, or deploys relievers in suboptimal roles due to previous day usage. The franchise's bullpen construction has been particularly problematic in these scenarios. Philadelphia's relievers have consistently ranked among the league's most overworked units, meaning zero rest games often feature depleted or unavailable late-game options. This creates a cascading effect where starters face pressure to pitch deeper into games, often beyond their optimal effectiveness windows. Recent improvements reflect better depth development and conditioning programs under current management, but the underlying roster construction issues persist. The team's offensive identity built around power hitting becomes less effective when key sluggers are rested or playing through fatigue. Bettors should target Philadelphia zero rest games when they're road favorites or in divisional matchups where motivation might offset physical limitations. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when accumulated fatigue peaks and roster flexibility becomes crucial.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as zero days rest?

The Philadelphia Phillies have an ATS record of 106-109-0 when playing on zero days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a slightly below-average performance against the spread over 215 total games.

Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as zero days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Philadelphia Phillies on zero days rest is not profitable, showing a -5.9% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. The team has covered the spread in only 49.3% of these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Phillies' 49.3% ATS win rate on zero days rest is slightly below the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. The -5.9% ROI indicates underperformance compared to break-even expectations when accounting for standard betting juice.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.