The public often underestimates the Philadelphia Phillies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Philadelphia Phillies hold a record of 390-72-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +61.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $283 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record390-72-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size463 games
ROI+61.2%
Units Won+282.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201432-3-00.0%+74.5%
201529-5-10.0%+62.8%
201637-9-00.0%+53.6%
201739-8-00.0%+58.4%
201830-5-00.0%+63.6%
201937-6-00.0%+64.3%
202029-8-00.0%+49.6%
202140-5-00.0%+69.7%
202238-11-00.0%+48.0%
202334-5-00.0%+66.4%
202445-7-00.0%+65.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Phillies' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their historically volatile roster construction and organizational culture that thrives when expectations are lowered. Philadelphia has consistently built teams around streaky power hitters and emotional leaders who respond dramatically to the heightened atmosphere of nationally televised games. When oddsmakers undervalue them in these spots, it often reflects broader market perception rather than the team's actual competitive edge on any given night. The franchise's blue-collar identity resonates particularly well in underdog scenarios, where players like Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have historically elevated their performance when the spotlight intensifies. Philadelphia's hitters tend to feast on opposing pitchers who may be pressing in primetime situations, while their own starting rotation often benefits from the extra rest that comes with marquee scheduling. The psychological element cannot be understated - this organization has built a culture around proving doubters wrong, dating back to their championship runs. When national audiences tune in expecting Philadelphia to falter, the team consistently responds with their best baseball. This trend carries maximum value when the Phillies are catching plus-money against division rivals or playoff contenders in nationally televised weekend games, where the emotional stakes amplify their contrarian edge.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Philadelphia Phillies have an outstanding 390-72-1 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to an 84.4% ATS win rate over 463 games.

Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 61.2% ROI. This exceptional return demonstrates consistent value when backing the Phillies in primetime underdog situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams struggle to maintain above 52-55% ATS win rates long-term. The Phillies' 84.4% ATS rate as primetime underdogs represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.