The public often underestimates the Philadelphia Phillies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Philadelphia Phillies hold a record of 117-28-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +54.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $79 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record117-28-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size146 games
ROI+54.0%
Units Won+78.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-3-00.0%+43.2%
201510-1-10.0%+73.5%
201619-3-00.0%+64.9%
20178-3-00.0%+38.8%
20184-1-00.0%+52.7%
20198-2-00.0%+52.7%
202011-3-00.0%+50.0%
202111-0-00.0%+90.9%
202213-6-00.0%+30.6%
202311-2-00.0%+61.5%
202413-4-00.0%+46.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Phillies' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their roster construction that thrives in adversity. Philadelphia has built a team around veteran leadership and clutch performers who elevate their game when expectations are lowered. Players like Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have consistently demonstrated an ability to rise to occasions where they're being counted out, while the pitching staff tends to pitch with more aggression when facing supposedly superior opponents. The medium underdog range captures Philadelphia in their sweet spot - facing quality opposition but not elite teams where they'd be completely overmatched. This scenario often occurs against division rivals or playoff contenders where the Phillies' familiarity and competitive pride kick into overdrive. Their hitters become more selective at the plate, working deeper counts and capitalizing on mistakes, while their bullpen arms pitch with the freedom that comes from reduced pressure. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Philadelphia enters these spots with their regular lineup intact, as their veteran core drives this trend more than any systemic advantage. This pattern holds strongest during divisional play and interleague series where the Phillies can leverage their National League experience against unfamiliar American League opponents who may underestimate their capabilities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Philadelphia Phillies have an ATS record of 117-28-1 when playing as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 80.1% ATS win rate over 146 games.

Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Phillies as medium underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 54.0% ROI. This means a $100 bettor would have profited $54 on average per bet over this 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS with minimal long-term ROI. The Phillies' 80.1% ATS rate and 54.0% ROI in this spot represents an elite betting trend.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.