Philadelphia Phillies Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Philadelphia Phillies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Philadelphia Phillies hold a record of 191-34-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +62.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $140 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-1-0 | 0.0% | +78.2% |
| 2015 | 18-4-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2016 | 19-3-0 | 0.0% | +64.9% |
| 2017 | 17-8-0 | 0.0% | +29.8% |
| 2018 | 14-1-0 | 0.0% | +78.2% |
| 2019 | 17-4-0 | 0.0% | +54.5% |
| 2020 | 14-6-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2021 | 20-1-0 | 0.0% | +81.8% |
| 2022 | 17-3-0 | 0.0% | +62.3% |
| 2023 | 17-1-0 | 0.0% | +80.3% |
| 2024 | 24-2-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Phillies' dominance as home underdogs stems from their fanbase creating one of baseball's most intimidating environments when expectations are low. Citizens Bank Park transforms into a cauldron when Philadelphia enters as the perceived inferior team, with fans rallying behind their squad with the chip-on-shoulder mentality that defines the city's sports culture. This psychological boost becomes amplified when oddsmakers underestimate the Phillies at home, often failing to properly account for how the team feeds off adversity in front of their passionate supporters. Philadelphia's roster construction over this period has consistently featured veteran players who thrive under pressure and younger talents who elevate their performance when doubted. The team's offensive approach becomes more aggressive and opportunistic when playing with house money, while their pitching staff historically performs better when the spotlight isn't squarely on them. The organization's front office has also shown a pattern of making strategic moves that pay dividends specifically in these undervalued home situations. Smart bettors should target Philadelphia home underdog spots when they're facing division rivals or teams with inflated public perception, as the emotional edge becomes most pronounced in these scenarios.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as home underdog?
The Philadelphia Phillies have an ATS record of 191-34-0 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an outstanding 84.9% ATS win rate over 225 total games.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 62.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This exceptional return demonstrates consistent value when the Phillies are undervalued at home.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Phillies' 84.9% ATS rate as home underdogs represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball over this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.