Oakland Athletics Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oakland Athletics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Oakland Athletics are just 52-69-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-12-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2016 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 3-5-1 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2018 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2019 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2022 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2023 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2024 | 5-3-1 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Athletics' struggles as home favorites against division rivals stem from their unique organizational approach during this period. Oakland consistently operated with one of baseball's lowest payrolls, creating a talent disparity that becomes magnified when oddsmakers expect them to perform as favorites. Division opponents know the A's systems intimately through 19 games per season, neutralizing Oakland's analytical advantages that might work against unfamiliar teams. The Coliseum's cavernous dimensions and foul territory actually work against Oakland when they're expected to win. While these factors can help underdog teams by suppressing offense and keeping games close, they don't provide the offensive boost needed when the A's need to cover spreads as favorites. Division rivals also tend to bring their best efforts to Oakland, viewing the A's as a "must-win" opponent given their perceived talent disadvantage. Oakland's player development model compounds this issue. Young, inconsistent players often struggle with the pressure of being favored, particularly against seasoned division opponents who exploit inexperience. The A's frequent roster turnover means they lack the veteran leadership needed in crucial divisional matchups. This trend carries the most weight when Oakland opens as home favorites of -140 or greater against AL West opponents, particularly during late-season series when playoff implications heighten intensity levels.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oakland Athletics's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Oakland Athletics have a 52-69-2 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.3% ATS win rate over 123 total games.
Is betting on the Oakland Athletics as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Oakland Athletics at home vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -18.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Oakland in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the typical 50% ATS baseline expected in sports betting. The Athletics' 42.3% ATS win rate in home division games represents poor value compared to league-wide betting expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.