The data suggests caution when backing the Oakland Athletics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Oakland Athletics are just 7-39-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -71.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +71.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record7-39-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size47 games
ROI-71.0%
Units Won-32.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-5-00.0%-45.5%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20170-2-00.0%-100.0%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20191-7-00.0%-76.1%
20201-7-00.0%-76.1%
20211-2-00.0%-36.4%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20230-3-00.0%-100.0%
20241-7-10.0%-76.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Athletics' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from a perfect storm of organizational limitations and competitive disadvantages. Oakland has historically operated with one of MLB's smallest payrolls, meaning their roster lacks the depth necessary to maintain performance when regular rest patterns are disrupted. Unlike well-funded franchises that can rotate quality arms and maintain offensive production through fatigue, the A's often find themselves relying on marginal players in crucial situations. Zero rest scenarios typically occur during compressed schedules or makeup games, situations where the betting public tends to overvalue home field advantage. The market consistently inflates Oakland's odds when they're favored at the Coliseum, failing to account for how fatigue amplifies their talent deficiencies. The team's offensive approach, often built around patience and working counts, becomes less effective when hitters are mentally and physically drained. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Playing in an outdated facility with sparse crowds, the A's rarely generate the home momentum that other teams enjoy when laying runs. Their pitching staff, frequently composed of young arms or reclamation projects, struggles with command when working on short rest. This trend carries maximum betting value during day games following night contests and in series where Oakland is unexpectedly favored despite recent struggles.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oakland Athletics's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?

The Oakland Athletics have gone 7-39-1 against the spread (ATS) as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents a dismal 15.2% ATS win rate over 47 games.

Is betting on the Oakland Athletics as home favorite on zero rest profitable?

No, betting on the Oakland Athletics as home favorites on zero rest has been extremely unprofitable with a -71.0% ROI. This means bettors would have lost roughly 71 cents for every dollar wagered on this scenario.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically perform around 50% ATS over large sample sizes. The Athletics' 15.2% ATS rate in this situation represents one of the worst trends in sports betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.