The data suggests caution when backing the Oakland Athletics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Oakland Athletics are just 9-86-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -81.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +81.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record9-86-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size95 games
ROI-81.9%
Units Won-77.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-10-00.0%-82.6%
20150-3-00.0%-100.0%
20161-6-00.0%-72.7%
20171-9-00.0%-80.9%
20181-9-00.0%-80.9%
20191-9-00.0%-80.9%
20200-6-00.0%-100.0%
20211-9-00.0%-80.9%
20220-8-00.0%-100.0%
20231-5-00.0%-68.2%
20242-12-00.0%-72.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Athletics' historically poor performance as home favorites following losses stems from a franchise culture that has struggled with consistency and mental resilience over the past decade. When Oakland enters a game as the betting favorite after dropping the previous contest, they face the dual pressure of justifying their favored status while bouncing back from defeat—a combination that has repeatedly overwhelmed this organization. The A's have operated with limited payrolls and frequent roster turnover, creating an environment where players lack the veteran leadership necessary to handle adversity effectively. Their home ballpark advantage at the Coliseum has been neutralized by organizational instability, with players often pressing to prove themselves rather than executing fundamentally sound baseball. The psychological weight of expectations, even modest ones as home favorites, has consistently proven too heavy for Oakland's young, inexperienced rosters. The franchise's analytical approach to roster construction has prioritized value over proven performers in pressure situations, leaving them vulnerable when games carry heightened importance. Young players and journeymen struggle to compartmentalize previous losses and focus on the task at hand. This trend carries maximum significance when the Athletics are slight home favorites (-110 to -140) following close losses, as the combination of inflated confidence and recent disappointment creates the perfect storm for underperformance.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oakland Athletics's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?

The Oakland Athletics have an ATS record of 9-86-0 (9.5% win rate) when playing as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst situational betting trends in baseball over this period.

Is betting on the Oakland Athletics as home favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Oakland Athletics as home favorites after a loss is extremely unprofitable with an ROI of -81.9%. This trend has lost money in 86 out of 95 opportunities over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in similar situations. The Athletics' 9.5% cover rate in this spot makes it one of the most reliable fade opportunities in sports betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.