The data suggests caution when backing the Oakland Athletics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Oakland Athletics are just 32-175-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -70.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +70.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record32-175-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size207 games
ROI-70.5%
Units Won-145.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-13-00.0%-64.2%
20155-19-00.0%-60.2%
20163-17-00.0%-71.4%
20172-14-00.0%-76.1%
20181-17-00.0%-89.4%
20195-17-00.0%-56.6%
20206-22-00.0%-59.1%
20211-8-00.0%-78.8%
20223-22-00.0%-77.1%
20231-17-00.0%-89.4%
20242-9-00.0%-65.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Athletics' dismal performance as road favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and organizational reality. Oakland has operated as one of baseball's most resource-constrained franchises, consistently fielding rosters built through shrewd player development rather than star power. When oddsmakers install them as road favorites, they're often overvaluing temporary hot streaks or underestimating the psychological burden this creates for a team accustomed to playing with house money. Road favorites face unique pressure to validate the betting market's confidence, something that historically overwhelms Oakland's young, developing players. The A's organizational philosophy emphasizes patience and process over immediate results, creating a disconnect when thrust into the unfamiliar role of expected winners away from home. Their roster construction typically features players who thrive as underdogs but struggle when carrying the weight of expectations. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Oakland appears overvalued by recent performance metrics that don't account for their limited talent depth. This trend becomes most critical during interleague play and against sub-.500 opponents, where the A's are most likely to be installed as road chalk despite lacking the star power to consistently deliver in pressure situations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oakland Athletics's ATS record as away favorite?

The Oakland Athletics have a 32-175-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 32 of 207 games. This represents an extremely poor 15.5% cover rate over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Oakland Athletics as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Oakland Athletics as away favorites is highly unprofitable with a -70.5% ROI. This means bettors would lose approximately 70 cents for every dollar wagered on Oakland when they're favored on the road.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% of spreads over time. The Athletics' 15.5% cover rate as away favorites represents one of the worst situational trends in modern MLB betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.