The data suggests caution when backing the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the New York Yankees are just 220-242-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.1%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record220-242-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size463 games
ROI-9.1%
Units Won-42.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201423-28-00.0%-13.9%
201523-18-00.0%+7.1%
201616-23-00.0%-21.7%
201721-14-00.0%+14.6%
201828-23-00.0%+4.8%
201923-25-00.0%-8.5%
202022-28-10.0%-16.0%
202113-28-00.0%-39.5%
202217-17-00.0%-4.5%
202317-17-00.0%-4.5%
202417-21-00.0%-14.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their organizational identity as an American League powerhouse that thrives on familiarity and routine. When facing National League teams during interleague play, New York loses the strategic advantages built through extensive divisional matchups and scouting reports. The team's analytical approach, which relies heavily on pitcher tendencies and situational data, becomes less effective against unfamiliar opponents they see only occasionally. New York's roster construction also works against them in these scenarios. Built primarily to exploit AL East pitching patterns and ballpark dimensions, the Yankees often find their offensive approach misaligned when facing NL arms with different repertoires and usage patterns. The designated hitter adjustment in NL parks further disrupts their carefully crafted lineup dynamics, forcing strategic decisions that don't play to their strengths. The psychological element cannot be overlooked either. As a franchise accustomed to being the hunter rather than the hunted, the Yankees sometimes approach interleague games with less intensity, treating them as exhibitions rather than crucial contests that significantly impact their season-long betting value. This trend becomes most actionable when the Yankees face quality NL opponents during mid-season interleague series, particularly in National League ballparks where their strategic disadvantages compound.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The New York Yankees have an ATS record of 220-242-1 when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.6% ATS win rate over 463 games against teams outside their conference.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the New York Yankees against non-conference opponents has not been profitable. The team shows a negative -9.1% ROI over this 11-year period, indicating consistent losses for bettors backing them ATS.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the expected 50% baseline for ATS betting, with the Yankees covering just 47.6% of spreads against non-conference teams. The -9.1% ROI significantly underperforms what would be considered break-even betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.