New York Yankees One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the New York Yankees are just 69-72-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8-7-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2015 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2016 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2017 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2018 | 10-3-0 | 0.0% | +46.9% |
| 2019 | 10-8-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2020 | 9-10-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2021 | 7-11-0 | 0.0% | -25.8% |
| 2022 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2023 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2024 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Yankees' struggles on one day of rest stem from their organizational philosophy that prioritizes long-term player health over short-term performance optimization. Unlike teams that embrace aggressive scheduling, New York's front office has historically been conservative with veteran players, often resting key contributors even when the calendar suggests they're available. This approach creates lineup inconsistency that disrupts offensive rhythm and forces manager decisions that don't align with optimal matchups. The team's reliance on aging superstars compounds this issue, as players like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton require more recovery time than their counterparts on other rosters. When forced into action on minimal rest, these cornerstone players often perform below their baseline, creating a ripple effect throughout the batting order. The Yankees' deep roster, while seemingly an advantage, actually works against them here as role players struggle to maintain timing when thrust into starting roles sporadically. Smart bettors should target Yankees games following off days rather than during compressed scheduling periods. This trend carries maximum weight during summer months when fatigue accumulates and the team's conservative approach becomes most pronounced, particularly in divisional matchups where every game holds playoff implications.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as one day rest?
The New York Yankees have a 69-72-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.9% ATS win rate over 141 games.
Is betting on the New York Yankees as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Yankees with one day rest has not been profitable, showing a -6.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing New York in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Yankees' 48.9% ATS win rate on one day rest is below the expected 50% break-even point. This underperformance suggests the betting market may overvalue the Yankees in this specific rest scenario.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.