The public often underestimates the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the New York Yankees hold a record of 108-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +56.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $74 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record108-24-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size132 games
ROI+56.2%
Units Won+74.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-4-00.0%+6.1%
201511-2-00.0%+61.5%
201610-2-00.0%+59.1%
201712-1-00.0%+76.2%
201815-4-00.0%+50.7%
20199-2-00.0%+56.2%
20208-1-00.0%+69.7%
20217-2-00.0%+48.5%
202212-3-00.0%+52.7%
20239-1-00.0%+71.8%
202410-2-00.0%+59.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of refusing to accept undervalued status. When oddsmakers price them in the +3.5 to +7 range, it typically occurs against elite opponents or in challenging road situations where the market may be overreacting to recent struggles or matchup concerns. This creates a psychological edge where a historically dominant franchise feels disrespected by the betting public. New York's deep roster construction becomes particularly valuable in these spots. Their ability to deploy multiple quality relievers and pinch-hitting options allows them to stay competitive late in games where they're expected to fade. The Yankees also tend to face medium underdog situations against division rivals or playoff contenders, creating natural motivation spikes that casual bettors often underestimate. The franchise's extensive analytics department excels at identifying opponent weaknesses that the broader market might miss, particularly in pitching matchups where their hitters can exploit specific tendencies. This edge becomes magnified when they're getting extra runs from oddsmakers who may be overvaluing recent form or surface-level metrics. This trend carries the most weight during the second half of the season when playoff positioning intensifies the Yankees' focus and their veteran leadership becomes most valuable.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The New York Yankees have an ATS record of 108-24-0 when playing as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This represents an outstanding 81.8% ATS win rate over 132 games.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Yankees as medium underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 56.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This means a $100 bet on each game would have generated $56.20 in profit on average.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Yankees' 81.8% ATS rate and 56.2% ROI in this spot represents exceptional value that far outperforms typical expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.