New York Yankees Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the New York Yankees are just 11-87-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -78.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +78.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-10-0 | 0.0% | -55.9% |
| 2015 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2016 | 0-13-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2018 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2019 | 2-11-0 | 0.0% | -70.6% |
| 2020 | 0-7-1 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-9-0 | 0.0% | -80.9% |
| 2022 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-14-0 | 0.0% | -87.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Yankees' historically poor performance as road favorites following losses reveals a fascinating psychological vulnerability that contradicts their typically resilient championship culture. When New York suffers a defeat and then travels while being favored, they appear to carry the weight of heightened expectations that amplify the sting of the previous loss. This creates a perfect storm where the team's star-heavy roster feels additional pressure to immediately bounce back, often leading to pressing and overthinking rather than executing their natural game. The Yankees' offensive-heavy identity becomes particularly problematic in this scenario. Their power-hitting approach, which thrives on confidence and rhythm, struggles when players are mentally tight and trying to force results. Road environments compound this issue, as the lack of home crowd energy makes it harder to manufacture the momentum needed to break out of their funk. The team's reliance on veteran leadership, while typically an asset, can backfire here as established players feel more responsibility to carry the burden of redemption. Smart bettors should view Yankees road favorites after losses as automatic fade opportunities, particularly when the betting line suggests public money is inflating their odds. This trend becomes most critical during playoff races when every game carries magnified importance and the psychological pressure reaches its peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The New York Yankees have an 11-87-1 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a dismal 11.1% cover rate over 99 total games.
Is betting on the New York Yankees as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Yankees as away favorites after a loss is highly unprofitable with a -78.6% ROI. This trend has consistently failed to cover the spread over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% of spreads. The Yankees' 11.1% cover rate in this situation represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.