The data suggests caution when backing the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the New York Yankees are just 27-192-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -76.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +76.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record27-192-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size220 games
ROI-76.5%
Units Won-167.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-24-00.0%-78.8%
20153-18-00.0%-72.7%
20163-19-00.0%-74.0%
20171-14-00.0%-87.3%
20184-7-00.0%-30.6%
20195-23-00.0%-65.9%
20201-21-10.0%-91.3%
20212-23-00.0%-84.7%
20220-9-00.0%-100.0%
20230-12-00.0%-100.0%
20245-22-00.0%-64.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' dismal performance as away favorites stems from a perfect storm of psychological and market dynamics that consistently work against them. As baseball's most storied franchise, New York carries inflated public perception that creates artificially high spreads when they travel, particularly against teams with strong home environments. The pressure of justifying favorite status on the road amplifies the Yankees' tendency toward inconsistent offensive production, especially when facing unfamiliar pitching in hostile ballparks where their power-heavy lineup often struggles to adjust to different dimensions and atmospheric conditions. Road favorites in baseball face unique challenges, and the Yankees exemplify this struggle through their reliance on the long ball and veteran leadership that doesn't always translate effectively in opposing stadiums. Their high-profile roster creates additional media scrutiny and fan hostility that can disrupt rhythm, while opposing teams naturally elevate their performance against New York's marquee players. The betting market consistently overvalues the Yankees' brand recognition rather than situational factors like travel fatigue, pitching matchups, and ballpark advantages. Smart bettors should view Yankees road favorite lines with extreme skepticism, particularly when the spread exceeds -150 or when they're visiting teams with strong home records and passionate fanbases during divisional play or weekend series.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as away favorite?

The New York Yankees have a 27-192-1 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 12.3% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in this situation over the past decade.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Yankees as away favorites is extremely unprofitable with a -76.5% ROI. This means you would lose approximately 77 cents for every dollar wagered over this 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% of spreads as away favorites. The Yankees' 12.3% cover rate in this situation is historically poor and well below any reasonable betting threshold.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.