The New York Mets show mixed results as vs division opponent. Since 2014, they're 147-134-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record147-134-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size282 games
ROI-0.1%
Units Won-0.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201416-12-00.0%+9.1%
201510-12-10.0%-13.2%
201617-7-00.0%+35.2%
201713-9-00.0%+12.8%
201818-17-00.0%-1.8%
201911-16-00.0%-22.2%
202013-9-00.0%+12.8%
202111-14-00.0%-16.0%
202212-13-00.0%-8.4%
202315-11-00.0%+10.1%
202411-14-00.0%-16.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mets' mediocre divisional performance reflects the unique pressures and familiarity that define NL East competition. Playing 76 games annually against Atlanta, Philadelphia, Washington, and Miami creates a chess match environment where opposing teams have extensive scouting reports and tactical adjustments. The Mets historically struggle with the psychological weight of expectations in these "must-win" divisional games, particularly when facing teams they're expected to dominate on paper. New York's pitching staff often gets exposed in divisional play due to hitters seeing their arms multiple times throughout the season. The team's tendency to rely heavily on power hitting becomes less effective against familiar pitching, as division rivals adjust their approach and exploit weaknesses in the Mets' offensive philosophy. The franchise's inconsistent organizational depth also shows more prominently in the grind of divisional play, where injuries and fatigue accumulate over the long season. For bettors, the key insight is fading the Mets as road favorites against division opponents, especially in series where they're coming off strong performances against non-divisional teams. This trend becomes most critical during late-season divisional series when playoff implications intensify the psychological pressure and familiarity factors reach their peak.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Mets's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The New York Mets have an ATS record of 147-134-1 when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a solid 52.3% ATS win rate over 282 total games.

Is betting on the New York Mets as vs division opponent profitable?

Betting on the New York Mets against division opponents has been slightly unprofitable with a -0.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their positive ATS record, the minimal negative return indicates break-even performance after accounting for betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Mets' 52.3% ATS win rate against division opponents is above the typical 50% baseline expected in efficient betting markets. However, the -0.1% ROI suggests this edge hasn't been sufficient to overcome standard sportsbook margins.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.