The public often underestimates the New York Mets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the New York Mets hold a record of 356-82-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +55.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $242 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record356-82-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size439 games
ROI+55.2%
Units Won+241.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201445-8-00.0%+62.1%
201529-6-10.0%+58.2%
201633-6-00.0%+61.5%
201731-6-00.0%+60.0%
201840-13-00.0%+44.1%
201922-8-00.0%+40.0%
202030-8-00.0%+50.7%
202127-7-00.0%+51.6%
202234-4-00.0%+70.8%
202337-10-00.0%+50.3%
202428-6-00.0%+57.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mets' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from a combination of market perception and organizational identity that consistently creates betting value. New York operates in baseball's most scrutinized media market, where every roster move and managerial decision gets amplified, often leading to inflated expectations when favored and excessive pessimism when not. This creates a psychological dynamic where the team performs with less pressure as underdogs, allowing their talent to shine without the weight of heightened expectations. The franchise's recent strategic approach under Steve Cohen's ownership emphasizes depth and versatility, traits that become particularly valuable in underdog situations. When facing superior opponents on paper, the Mets benefit from having multiple players capable of stepping up in different roles, whether it's their bullpen depth or positional flexibility. Their analytical approach to matchups often reveals advantages that oddsmakers and the betting public overlook, especially in divisional games where familiarity breeds contempt. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when the Mets are getting undervalued due to recent struggles or perceived roster weaknesses rather than actual on-field performance indicators. This trend holds most significance during interleague play and when facing teams with inflated public perception, where the line movement often overcompensates for surface-level narratives.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Mets's ATS record as as underdog?

The New York Mets have an ATS record of 356-82-1 when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an outstanding 81.3% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the New York Mets as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the New York Mets as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 55.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This means a $100 bet would have returned $155.20 on average.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams cover around 50% ATS and achieve positive ROI much less frequently. The Mets' 81.3% ATS rate as underdogs is well above typical expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.