New York Mets Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The New York Mets show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 147-147-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-10-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2015 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 15-14-0 | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2017 | 10-13-0 | 0.0% | -17.0% |
| 2018 | 17-10-0 | 0.0% | +20.2% |
| 2019 | 13-18-0 | 0.0% | -19.9% |
| 2020 | 15-11-0 | 0.0% | +10.1% |
| 2021 | 13-11-0 | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2022 | 16-15-0 | 0.0% | -1.5% |
| 2023 | 11-18-0 | 0.0% | -27.6% |
| 2024 | 13-15-0 | 0.0% | -11.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mets' perfectly balanced record with extended rest reflects the double-edged nature of their organizational approach to pitching management. When given three or more days off, the team often benefits from having their injury-prone rotation fully healthy, but simultaneously loses the rhythm that keeps their inconsistent offense clicking. This dynamic creates a push-pull effect where the pitching staff performs closer to expectations while the batting order struggles to maintain timing against fresh opposing arms. New York's tendency to overthink matchups during extended breaks has historically worked against them from a betting perspective. The franchise's analytical approach often leads to lineup tinkering and bullpen strategy adjustments that look smart on paper but disrupt the natural flow that develops during regular play. The negative ROI suggests that while the team performs adequately straight-up in these spots, they frequently fail to cover inflated lines that oddsmakers set based on the perceived advantage of rest. The volatility between their best and worst seasons in this split indicates that roster construction matters significantly. Teams built around veteran players tend to benefit more from rest than younger, rhythm-dependent clubs. This trend matters most during playoff races and interleague series where the Mets face unfamiliar opponents after extended breaks, creating maximum uncertainty for both team and bettors.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Mets's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The New York Mets have an ATS record of 147-147-0 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a perfectly even split with a 50.0% cover rate over 294 games.
Is betting on the New York Mets as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the New York Mets with three or more days rest is not profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their even ATS record, the negative return indicates losses due to juice/vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
This trend requires league average data for comparison, which is not provided in the current dataset. The Mets' 50.0% ATS rate with three or more days rest represents a neutral performance against the spread.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.