The public often underestimates the New York Mets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the New York Mets hold a record of 356-82-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +55.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $242 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record356-82-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size439 games
ROI+55.2%
Units Won+241.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201445-8-00.0%+62.1%
201529-6-10.0%+58.2%
201633-6-00.0%+61.5%
201731-6-00.0%+60.0%
201840-13-00.0%+44.1%
201922-8-00.0%+40.0%
202030-8-00.0%+50.7%
202127-7-00.0%+51.6%
202234-4-00.0%+70.8%
202337-10-00.0%+50.3%
202428-6-00.0%+57.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mets' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from a combination of market perception and organizational psychology that creates consistent value opportunities. New York's large market status often inflates public betting on their opponents, particularly during nationally televised games when casual bettors gravitate toward perceived stronger teams. This public money movement regularly pushes lines beyond their true value, creating profitable spots for contrarian bettors. The franchise's historical underdog mentality, deeply embedded in team culture since their inception as the "Loveable Losers," manifests as elevated performance when expectations are lowest. Players often respond to the chip-on-shoulder dynamic that primetime underdog status provides, particularly against marquee opponents who may overlook them. The Mets also benefit from having less scouting footage available to opponents during these nationally televised spots, as teams typically prepare more extensively for favored matchups. Managerial decisions tend to be more aggressive when playing with house money as underdogs, leading to optimal bullpen usage and strategic positioning that wouldn't occur in favored situations. The reduced pressure environment allows young players to perform without the weight of expectations that typically accompanies Mets baseball. This trend holds maximum value during weekend primetime games against division rivals or playoff contenders when public perception gaps are widest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Mets's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The New York Mets have an ATS record of 356-82-1 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an outstanding 81.3% ATS win rate over 439 games.

Is betting on the New York Mets as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Mets as primetime underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 55.2% ROI. This exceptional return demonstrates consistent value when backing New York in this specific situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as most teams struggle to maintain even 52-55% ATS rates. The Mets' 81.3% success rate as primetime underdogs represents an elite-level trend.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.