New York Mets Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New York Mets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the New York Mets are just 19-75-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -61.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +61.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2015 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2016 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2018 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2019 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-10-0 | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 2022 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2023 | 0-10-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-9-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mets' disastrous performance as road favorites following losses stems from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and organizational dysfunction that has plagued the franchise for years. When this team suffers a defeat and then travels to face supposedly weaker opponents, they consistently carry the weight of their previous failure into hostile territory. The pressure of being favored amplifies their tendency to press, leading to mechanical breakdowns at the plate and overthinking on the mound. New York's notorious inconsistency becomes magnified in these spots because road favorites must overcome both the natural home field advantage and the psychological burden of expectations. The Mets have historically struggled with mental toughness, particularly during their rebuilding phases, and this manifests most clearly when they're expected to bounce back immediately in an unfamiliar environment. Their pitching staff often compounds losses by nibbling around the strike zone, while hitters become overly aggressive trying to force quick rallies. Smart bettors should aggressively fade the Mets in these situations, especially when they're laying significant chalk on the road after dropping a winnable game. This trend carries maximum weight during summer months when the grind of the season exposes their mental weaknesses most severely.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Mets's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The New York Mets have a 19-75-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 20.2% ATS win rate over 94 games.
Is betting on the New York Mets as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Mets as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -61.4% ROI. This represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in similar situations. The Mets' 20.2% rate represents an extreme negative outlier that bettors should strongly consider fading.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.