The Minnesota Twins show mixed results as vs division opponent. Since 2014, they're 145-128-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record145-128-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size273 games
ROI+1.4%
Units Won+3.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201417-13-00.0%+8.2%
201516-12-00.0%+9.1%
20168-9-00.0%-10.2%
201711-17-00.0%-25.0%
201812-14-00.0%-11.9%
201920-11-00.0%+23.2%
202014-10-00.0%+11.4%
20218-8-00.0%-4.5%
202215-8-00.0%+24.5%
202311-14-00.0%-16.0%
202413-12-00.0%-0.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Twins' modest success against divisional opponents stems from their ability to exploit familiarity while maintaining competitive roster construction within the AL Central's relatively balanced landscape. Minnesota's front office has consistently built teams that perform well in extended series formats, where their deep bullpen usage and platoon advantages become more pronounced against familiar opponents. The organization's emphasis on versatility allows manager adjustments that prove particularly effective when facing the same pitching staffs multiple times throughout a season. Minnesota's psychological edge manifests through their Target Field advantage and strong clubhouse culture that thrives on divisional rivalries. The Twins have historically performed better when expectations are measured rather than sky-high, allowing them to play loose against teams they face 19 times annually. Their pitching development system produces arms that may struggle against unfamiliar lineups but excel when they can make in-season adjustments against repeated opponents. The key betting insight involves targeting Minnesota as road underdogs in divisional play, where their familiarity advantage combines with favorable line value. This trend carries the most weight during the final six weeks of the season when divisional positioning intensifies and the Twins' veteran leadership typically elevates their performance in meaningful late-season series.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Minnesota Twins's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The Minnesota Twins have a 145-128 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 53.1% ATS win rate over 273 games.

Is betting on the Minnesota Twins as vs division opponent profitable?

Yes, betting on the Minnesota Twins against division opponents has been profitable with a 1.4% ROI over the past decade. Their 53.1% ATS win rate indicates consistent value against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Twins' 53.1% ATS win rate against division opponents is above the typical break-even rate of 52.4% needed to overcome standard betting juice. This performance suggests they consistently outperform expectations in divisional matchups.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.