Minnesota Twins Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Minnesota Twins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Minnesota Twins hold a record of 59-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +28.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $25 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-1-0 | 0.0% | +71.8% |
| 2015 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2018 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2019 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2021 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2022 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2023 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2024 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Twins' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational philosophy of developing versatile, fundamentally sound players who thrive when expectations are modest. Minnesota's front office has consistently built teams that excel at manufacturing runs through situational hitting, aggressive baserunning, and timely execution rather than relying solely on power. This approach becomes particularly effective when they're slight underdogs, as opposing teams often underestimate their ability to scratch across runs in crucial moments. The psychological element cannot be overlooked. Minnesota players have historically embraced the underdog mentality, playing with less pressure when they're not expected to win. Their pitching staff, often featuring crafty veterans and emerging talents, tends to keep games close enough for their scrappy offense to capitalize on late-game opportunities. The Twins also benefit from strong clubhouse leadership that maintains composure in tight contests, preventing the mental lapses that plague teams facing unrealistic expectations. For bettors, target the Twins as small underdogs when they're facing teams coming off emotional wins or playing in day games after night contests, where focus can wane. This trend holds maximum value during divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive balance and small margins determine outcomes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Twins's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Minnesota Twins have an outstanding 59-29-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This represents a 67.0% ATS win rate over 88 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Minnesota Twins as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Minnesota Twins as small underdogs has been highly profitable with a 28.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 67.0% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams hover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Twins' 67.0% ATS rate and 28.0% ROI as small underdogs represents one of the strongest situational trends in MLB betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.