The public often underestimates the Minnesota Twins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Minnesota Twins hold a record of 122-15-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +70.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $96 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record122-15-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size137 games
ROI+70.0%
Units Won+95.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201413-2-00.0%+65.5%
201514-2-00.0%+67.0%
20168-1-00.0%+69.7%
201714-3-00.0%+57.2%
201813-0-00.0%+90.9%
201912-2-00.0%+63.6%
20209-1-00.0%+71.8%
20215-2-00.0%+36.4%
202213-0-00.0%+90.9%
202311-2-00.0%+61.5%
202410-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Twins' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational philosophy of developing versatile, fundamentally sound players who thrive when expectations are lowered. Minnesota's front office has consistently built rosters with above-average depth, allowing them to maintain competitive lineups even when key players are injured or struggling - situations that often create these underdog scenarios. Their success in this range reflects the team's ability to exploit opposing pitchers who may approach games with less intensity against a perceived "lesser" opponent. The Twins have historically featured patient hitters who work deep counts and capitalize on mistakes, a skill set that becomes particularly valuable when facing pitchers who might be coasting on reputation rather than execution. Minnesota's clubhouse culture, heavily influenced by their small-market mentality, creates natural motivation when disrespected by oddsmakers. Players often perform with extra urgency when positioned as moderate underdogs, as it validates their underdog identity without the pressure of being massive longshots. The key insight for bettors is targeting Twins games where they're catching plus-money against teams coming off emotional wins or during stretches when their offense shows signs of heating up. This trend holds most value during mid-season stretches when motivation can wane for favored opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Minnesota Twins's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Minnesota Twins have an ATS record of 122-15-0 when playing as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to an exceptional 89.1% win rate against the spread in this situation.

Is betting on the Minnesota Twins as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Minnesota Twins as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 70.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball over this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as typical ATS win rates hover around 50% with most profitable trends showing 5-15% ROI. The Twins' 89.1% ATS rate and 70% ROI in this spot is historically exceptional.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.