The Minnesota Twins show mixed results as home vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 66-58-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.6%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record66-58-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size124 games
ROI+1.6%
Units Won+2.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-4-00.0%+32.2%
20158-7-00.0%+1.8%
20164-3-00.0%+9.1%
20176-10-00.0%-28.4%
20184-9-00.0%-41.3%
201911-4-00.0%+40.0%
20205-5-00.0%-4.5%
20212-3-00.0%-23.6%
20226-2-00.0%+43.2%
20235-5-00.0%-4.5%
20246-6-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Twins' solid home performance against division rivals stems from their ability to leverage Target Field's unique characteristics and capitalize on familiarity. Minnesota's pitching staff historically performs better at home, where they can exploit the ballpark's dimensions and climate conditions that visiting AL Central teams must adjust to repeatedly throughout the season. The Twins have built their roster around players who thrive in their home environment, particularly hitters who can work counts and take advantage of the Metrodome-era mentality that still permeates the organization's approach to divisional play. Minnesota's front office has consistently constructed teams that excel in series play against familiar opponents, understanding that divisional games often come down to bullpen depth and situational hitting. The psychological edge of playing at home becomes amplified when facing rivals like Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland, and Kansas City, as the Twins can rely on crowd energy and established routines that disrupt visiting teams' rhythm. For bettors, the key insight is targeting Twins home games against division rivals when they're getting plus money or small spreads, particularly in series openers where their preparation advantage is most pronounced. This trend carries the most weight during late-season divisional series when playoff implications intensify the home-field psychological factors.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Minnesota Twins's ATS record as home vs division rival?

The Minnesota Twins have a 66-58-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.2% ATS win rate over 124 games.

Is betting on the Minnesota Twins as home vs division rival profitable?

Yes, betting on the Minnesota Twins at home vs division rivals has been profitable with a 1.6% ROI from 2014-2024. While the returns are modest, the consistent 53.2% ATS win rate indicates slight positive value.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Twins' 53.2% ATS win rate at home vs division rivals is above the typical 50% break-even point for ATS betting. This performance is slightly better than random chance and shows they tend to cover spreads in these divisional matchups at home.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.