The public often underestimates the Minnesota Twins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Minnesota Twins hold a record of 96-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +66.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $73 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record96-14-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size110 games
ROI+66.6%
Units Won+73.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201413-0-00.0%+90.9%
20158-2-00.0%+52.7%
20166-0-00.0%+90.9%
201711-0-00.0%+90.9%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20197-2-00.0%+48.5%
202013-1-00.0%+77.3%
20218-1-00.0%+69.7%
20225-3-00.0%+19.3%
202312-1-00.0%+76.2%
20248-2-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Twins' exceptional performance as road underdogs following victories stems from a psychological momentum effect that perfectly aligns with their organizational identity. Minnesota has historically built teams around scrappy, fundamentally sound baseball that thrives when expectations are lowered. After securing a win, the clubhouse confidence carries over into hostile environments where the pressure shifts entirely to the favored home team. This trend particularly benefits from the Twins' patient offensive approach and strong bullpen depth that has characterized successful Minnesota squads. Road underdogs often face starting pitchers coming off extra rest or teams in letdown spots, and the Twins' disciplined hitters excel at working counts and capitalizing on mistakes from overconfident opponents. Their pitching staff, whether featuring ace-level talent or solid rotation pieces, tends to rise to the occasion when backed by offensive momentum. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Twins face teams in potential trap game scenarios - particularly division rivals or clubs coming off emotional victories themselves. The psychological edge becomes most pronounced when Minnesota enters these spots with their core veterans healthy and contributing, as veteran leadership amplifies the confidence factor that drives this remarkable trend. This pattern holds strongest during summer months when the Twins' offensive rhythm typically peaks and road travel becomes less of a physical burden.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Minnesota Twins's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Minnesota Twins have an exceptional 96-14-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 87.3% ATS win rate over 110 games in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Minnesota Twins as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Minnesota Twins as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 66.6% ROI. This represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS. The Twins' 87.3% ATS rate in this situation is exceptionally rare and well above normal expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.