The public often underestimates the Milwaukee Brewers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Milwaukee Brewers hold a record of 178-34-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $128 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record178-34-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size212 games
ROI+60.3%
Units Won+127.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201420-3-00.0%+66.0%
201514-5-00.0%+40.7%
201615-2-00.0%+68.5%
201719-0-00.0%+90.9%
201816-3-00.0%+60.8%
201919-4-00.0%+57.7%
202016-2-00.0%+69.7%
202114-7-00.0%+27.3%
202214-3-00.0%+57.2%
202316-2-00.0%+69.7%
202415-3-00.0%+59.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Brewers' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a small-market team that thrives when expectations are lowered. Milwaukee has consistently built rosters around pitching depth and defensive efficiency rather than star power, creating a team that performs better when not favored. Their home ballpark, American Family Field, plays as a pitcher-friendly environment that neutralizes opposing offensive advantages, particularly benefiting Milwaukee's typically strong bullpen depth. The psychological element cannot be overlooked - this franchise has cultivated a blue-collar mentality that responds exceptionally well to being dismissed by oddsmakers. When playing at home as underdogs, the Brewers often face teams expected to dominate, but Milwaukee's tactical approach of grinding out at-bats and leveraging their bullpen's late-game strength frequently frustrates higher-powered offenses. Their recent managerial philosophies have emphasized situational baseball and maximizing every scoring opportunity, traits that become magnified when they're not expected to win. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing that Milwaukee's underdog value increases significantly when facing teams with inflated public perception or those coming off impressive road series. This trend holds strongest during divisional play and interleague matchups where the Brewers' methodical style can exploit opponents expecting easier victories.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Brewers's ATS record as home underdog?

The Milwaukee Brewers have an outstanding 178-34-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 84.0% ATS win rate over 212 total games.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Brewers as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Milwaukee Brewers as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 60.3% ROI from 2014-2024. This represents one of the most profitable betting situations in baseball over this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly above the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Brewers' 84.0% ATS rate as home underdogs is exceptionally rare and far outperforms typical expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.