Miami Marlins vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Miami Marlins show mixed results as vs division opponent. Since 2014, they're 144-136-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8-8-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 7-11-0 | 0.0% | -25.8% |
| 2016 | 11-16-0 | 0.0% | -22.2% |
| 2017 | 16-14-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2018 | 14-12-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2019 | 9-10-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2020 | 16-21-0 | 0.0% | -17.4% |
| 2021 | 12-11-0 | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2022 | 22-13-0 | 0.0% | +20.0% |
| 2023 | 12-4-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 17-16-0 | 0.0% | -1.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Miami Marlins' underwhelming performance against divisional opponents stems from their perpetual roster instability and organizational philosophy of selling talent at peak value. Unlike established franchises that build chemistry over multiple seasons, the Marlins consistently cycle through players, creating a revolving door that prevents the development of familiarity crucial for divisional success. Teams like Atlanta, Philadelphia, and New York have maintained core groups that understand each other's tendencies, while Miami's frequent roster turnover leaves them at a strategic disadvantage. The psychological burden of playing in a competitive NL East compounds this issue. The Marlins often enter divisional matchups as underdogs against better-funded, more stable organizations, creating a mental hurdle that manifests in inconsistent execution during crucial moments. Their young players frequently face seasoned divisional rivals who exploit Miami's inexperience in high-leverage situations. The franchise's boom-or-bust approach to roster construction means they occasionally field competitive teams but lack the sustained excellence needed for consistent divisional success. When the Marlins do invest in talent, they tend to overperform expectations briefly before reverting to form. This trend matters most during the final two months of the season when divisional familiarity peaks and Miami's organizational limitations become most apparent against battle-tested rivals.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Miami Marlins have a 144-136 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.4% ATS win rate over 280 games.
Is betting on the Miami Marlins as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Miami Marlins against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -1.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to the vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Marlins' 51.4% ATS win rate against division opponents is slightly above the theoretical break-even point but below what's needed to overcome betting juice. This performance is roughly average compared to most MLB teams' divisional ATS records.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.