Miami Marlins Underdog on 3+ Win Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Miami Marlins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as underdog on 3+ win streak, the Miami Marlins hold a record of 353-79-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +56.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $242 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 30-9-0 | 0.0% | +46.9% |
| 2015 | 28-8-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2016 | 26-7-0 | 0.0% | +50.4% |
| 2017 | 30-8-0 | 0.0% | +50.7% |
| 2018 | 36-7-0 | 0.0% | +59.8% |
| 2019 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2020 | 37-11-0 | 0.0% | +47.2% |
| 2021 | 32-7-0 | 0.0% | +56.6% |
| 2022 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2023 | 35-4-0 | 0.0% | +71.3% |
| 2024 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Marlins' exceptional performance as underdogs during win streaks reflects a franchise that has historically thrived when expectations are low and pressure is minimal. Miami's organizational culture has been built around opportunistic baseball rather than sustained excellence, creating a team dynamic where players perform better when they're not expected to win. During winning streaks, the Marlins often face inflated lines as oddsmakers and the public remain skeptical of their sustainability, creating value for sharp bettors who recognize the team's momentum-driven nature. Miami's roster construction typically features young, hungry players and veterans looking to prove themselves, both groups that respond well to the underdog mentality. When the team gets hot, their aggressive approach on both sides of the ball becomes more effective, while opposing teams often underestimate their capability during these runs. The franchise's history of surprising playoff runs demonstrates this pattern of exceeding expectations when written off. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Miami's underdog value increases significantly during active win streaks, as the market consistently undervalues their ability to sustain momentum. This trend becomes most valuable when the Marlins are catching plus-money against division rivals or quality opponents who may overlook their recent success.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as underdog on 3+ win streak?
The Miami Marlins have an ATS record of 353-79-0 when they are underdogs on a 3+ game winning streak from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 81.7% ATS win rate over 432 total games.
Is betting on the Miami Marlins as underdog on 3+ win streak profitable?
Yes, betting on the Miami Marlins as underdogs on 3+ win streaks has been highly profitable with a 56.0% ROI. This trend has consistently generated positive returns over the 11-year period from 2014-2024.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 81.7% ATS win rate significantly outperforms typical league averages, which generally hover around 50% for ATS betting. The Marlins' performance in this specific situation represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.