The public often underestimates the Miami Marlins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Miami Marlins hold a record of 176-42-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +54.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $118 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record176-42-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size218 games
ROI+54.1%
Units Won+118.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-6-00.0%+36.4%
201513-6-00.0%+30.6%
201612-2-00.0%+63.6%
201711-4-00.0%+40.0%
201820-3-00.0%+66.0%
201920-5-00.0%+52.7%
202015-6-00.0%+36.4%
202115-5-00.0%+43.2%
202220-1-00.0%+81.8%
202322-2-00.0%+75.0%
202413-2-00.0%+65.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Marlins' exceptional performance as away underdogs stems from their organizational identity as perpetual rebuilders who thrive when expectations are lowest. Miami has operated with one of baseball's smallest payrolls for over a decade, creating a roster construction that relies heavily on young, hungry players who perform better without the pressure of home crowd expectations. These players often elevate their games on the road when facing superior opponents, as the underdog mentality aligns perfectly with their developmental mindset. Miami's front office has consistently built teams designed to exceed modest expectations rather than meet lofty ones. Their pitching development system produces arms that can compete with anyone on a given night, while their hitters often benefit from unfamiliar ballparks where opposing scouts have less detailed scouting reports. The franchise's financial constraints actually work in their favor as underdogs, since they're never expected to compete with big-market teams yet possess enough talent to steal games. Smart bettors should target Miami as road underdogs specifically when they're facing division rivals or teams with inflated public perception. This trend matters most during the final two months of the season when Miami's young players have gained experience while their opponents may be dealing with playoff pressure or complacency.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as away underdog?

The Miami Marlins have an outstanding 176-42-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to an impressive 80.7% ATS win rate over 218 games.

Is betting on the Miami Marlins as away underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Miami Marlins as away underdogs has been highly profitable with a 54.1% ROI. This exceptional return makes it one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Marlins' 80.7% ATS rate as away underdogs is remarkably above typical expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.