The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game win streak, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 415-435-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record415-435-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size851 games
ROI-6.8%
Units Won-57.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201434-41-00.0%-13.4%
201536-43-00.0%-13.0%
201650-29-00.0%+20.8%
201743-33-00.0%+8.0%
201834-41-00.0%-13.4%
201937-40-00.0%-8.3%
202035-42-00.0%-13.2%
202135-43-10.0%-14.3%
202246-41-00.0%+0.9%
202331-44-00.0%-21.1%
202434-38-00.0%-9.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Dodgers' struggles against the spread during extended winning streaks reveal a classic case of market overcorrection meeting organizational complacency. When Los Angeles strings together multiple victories, the betting public gravitates heavily toward the perceived "hot" team, inflating lines beyond what the underlying performance justifies. This public sentiment creates value on the opposing side, as oddsmakers adjust spreads to balance action rather than reflect true probability. From a psychological standpoint, the Dodgers' championship-caliber roster can fall into the trap of playing down to competition during win streaks. With deep talent and veteran leadership, they often approach games with less urgency when momentum appears to be building, leading to closer contests than the spread suggests. Their recent form exemplifies this pattern, as the team's tendency to rely on talent over execution becomes more pronounced when confidence runs high. The strategic element involves opposing teams raising their game against a surging Dodgers squad, treating these matchups as statement opportunities. Division rivals and playoff contenders particularly exploit this dynamic, using extra preparation and emotional energy to keep games competitive. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when playoff positioning isn't immediately critical, making the Dodgers vulnerable to letdown performances that consistently fail to cover inflated spreads.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 415-435-1 ATS record when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.8% ATS win rate over 851 games.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

No, betting on the Dodgers when on a 3+ game win streak is not profitable. The strategy shows a -6.8% ROI, meaning bettors would lose approximately $6.80 for every $100 wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the break-even threshold of 52.4% needed to overcome standard vig. The 48.8% ATS win rate indicates the betting market efficiently prices in the Dodgers' hot streaks, making them poor ATS value.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.