Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 199-209-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-24-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
| 2015 | 13-17-0 | 0.0% | -17.3% |
| 2016 | 28-15-0 | 0.0% | +24.3% |
| 2017 | 16-15-0 | 0.0% | -1.5% |
| 2018 | 17-23-0 | 0.0% | -18.9% |
| 2019 | 21-16-0 | 0.0% | +8.3% |
| 2020 | 20-18-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2021 | 16-18-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2022 | 23-20-0 | 0.0% | +2.1% |
| 2023 | 13-24-0 | 0.0% | -32.9% |
| 2024 | 18-19-0 | 0.0% | -7.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dodgers' underwhelming home ATS performance stems from their status as perennial favorites creating inflated expectations at Chavez Ravine. Los Angeles consistently enters home games with significant public backing and media attention, leading oddsmakers to shade lines toward the popular side. This franchise's deep pockets and star-studded roster generate casual betting action that pushes spreads beyond their true value, particularly in nationally televised games and marquee matchups. Chavez Ravine's unique dimensions and atmospheric conditions also play a role in inconsistent offensive output. The marine layer that rolls in from the Pacific can suppress home run distances during evening games, neutralizing the Dodgers' power advantage that bettors often overvalue. Additionally, the organization's tendency to rest key players during the regular season while prioritizing postseason health creates unpredictable lineup situations that the betting market struggles to properly price. The most profitable approach involves fading the Dodgers at home when they're heavily favored against division rivals or when coming off emotional wins. These spots typically feature the highest public betting percentages and inflated run lines. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when the marine layer is most pronounced and roster management becomes more aggressive ahead of playoff pushes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as home games?
The Los Angeles Dodgers have gone 199-209 against the spread (ATS) in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.8% ATS win rate over 408 total home games during this period.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as home games profitable?
No, betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers in home games has not been profitable, showing a -6.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Dodgers at home against the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Dodgers' 48.8% home ATS win rate is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. While not dramatically poor, their consistent underperformance against home spreads suggests the betting market may overvalue them when playing at Dodger Stadium.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.