Los Angeles Dodgers Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 20-80-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -61.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +61.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2015 | 0-13-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2017 | 1-9-0 | 0.0% | -80.9% |
| 2018 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2019 | 0-7-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2021 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2022 | 6-10-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2023 | 1-8-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2024 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dodgers' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic factors that compound their vulnerability. After absorbing a defeat, this franchise historically carries the weight of elevated expectations into hostile environments where they're expected to bounce back immediately. The pressure to respond as favorites creates a mental burden that often manifests in pressing at the plate and overthinking on the mound. Los Angeles has traditionally relied heavily on their star power and depth, but road environments neutralize many of these advantages while amplifying the sting of recent failure. When the Dodgers lose, opposing teams and crowds smell blood in the water, creating an atmosphere where underdogs play with house money while LA battles both the opponent and their own expectations. The team's analytical approach, while beneficial long-term, can lead to paralysis by analysis when trying to immediately correct course after setbacks. The organizational culture of championship-or-bust mentality means losses hit harder psychologically, and carrying that baggage into road games where they're laying runs creates a toxic combination. Smart bettors should target this spot when the Dodgers are road chalk coming off any loss, particularly against divisional opponents who know them well and in high-leverage series situations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 20-80-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 20% of these situations. This represents 100 total games with zero pushes.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Dodgers as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -61.8% ROI over the past decade. This trend has been consistently unprofitable with only a 20% ATS win rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than typical league averages, which generally hover around 50% ATS for most situational trends. The Dodgers' 20% ATS rate in this spot represents an extreme negative trend that's well below expected variance.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.