The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 188-193-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record188-193-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size381 games
ROI-5.8%
Units Won-22.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201414-14-00.0%-4.5%
201518-20-00.0%-9.6%
201620-13-00.0%+15.7%
201721-14-00.0%+14.6%
201814-16-00.0%-10.9%
201913-17-00.0%-17.3%
202014-18-00.0%-16.5%
202119-20-00.0%-7.0%
202225-24-00.0%-2.6%
202315-20-00.0%-18.2%
202415-17-00.0%-10.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Dodgers' struggles against the spread following losses stem from their organizational culture of sustained excellence creating unrealistic market expectations. When this perennial powerhouse drops a game, oddsmakers and the public often overreact, inflating the team's spread in the subsequent contest based on their reputation rather than current form or matchup dynamics. Los Angeles' deep roster construction actually works against them in these spots. The team's ability to rotate quality players means they rarely panic after defeats, maintaining steady lineup construction and pitching decisions. However, this measured approach doesn't translate to the explosive bounce-back performances that bettors and books anticipate from a franchise accustomed to October baseball. The psychological factor cuts both ways - while the Dodgers don't crumble after losses, they also don't carry the desperate urgency that drives some teams to dominant follow-up efforts. Their championship pedigree creates a long-term perspective that prioritizes health and sustainable performance over immediate redemption games. Smart bettors should target fading the Dodgers after losses when they're road favorites or facing division rivals, where the market inflation tends to be most pronounced and the team's methodical approach conflicts with inflated public expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as after a loss?

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 188-193 ATS record after a loss from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 49.3% of games following defeats.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Dodgers after a loss is not profitable, with a -5.8% ROI over the 11-year period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing LA in bounce-back spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Dodgers' 49.3% ATS win rate after losses is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Most successful teams tend to bounce back better against the spread following defeats.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.