Los Angeles Angels vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Los Angeles Angels are just 142-151-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-12-0 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2015 | 14-14-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 13-14-0 | 0.0% | -8.1% |
| 2017 | 14-17-0 | 0.0% | -13.8% |
| 2018 | 10-7-0 | 0.0% | +12.3% |
| 2019 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2020 | 21-12-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2021 | 9-18-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
| 2023 | 19-20-0 | 0.0% | -7.0% |
| 2024 | 12-11-0 | 0.0% | -0.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Angels' struggles against conference opponents stem from a fundamental mismatch between their offensive-heavy roster construction and the strategic demands of divisional play. While their lineup featuring stars like Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani can overwhelm unfamiliar pitching, AL West rivals have developed detailed scouting reports and defensive alignments that neutralize these advantages. The team's historically weak bullpen compounds this issue, as tight divisional games often hinge on late-game execution where the Angels consistently falter. Los Angeles also suffers from what analysts call "expectation weight" - bookmakers consistently overvalue their star power in divisional matchups, creating inflated lines that don't reflect their tactical deficiencies. The organization's frequent roster turnover, particularly in pitching, means they lack the continuity needed to develop effective game plans against familiar opponents who see them 19 times per season. The key betting insight here is to fade the Angels when they're road favorites against division rivals, particularly in series openers where their preparation disadvantages are most pronounced. This trend carries the most weight during the final two months of the season when divisional familiarity peaks and the Angels' bullpen fatigue becomes most apparent.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Los Angeles Angels have a 142-151-0 ATS record when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.5% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Angels against conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -7.5% ROI from 2014-2024. The team has failed to cover the spread more often than they've covered it in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Angels' 48.5% ATS win rate against conference opponents is below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. This underperformance has resulted in consistent losses for bettors backing the Angels in these situations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.