Los Angeles Angels Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Los Angeles Angels hold a record of 145-2-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +88.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $130 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 18-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 13-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 12-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 13-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2020 | 17-1-0 | 0.0% | +80.3% |
| 2021 | 8-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 13-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 15-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 15-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Angels' historically poor performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational philosophy and roster construction over the past decade. Built around superstar talent like Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the team has consistently operated with championship expectations despite fundamental weaknesses in pitching depth and bullpen reliability. When facing elite opponents that create such large spreads, these structural flaws become magnified. The psychological factor cannot be understated. Angels players and management have rarely embraced the underdog mentality that often fuels upset performances. Instead of playing loose with nothing to lose, they've historically pressed in high-stakes situations, leading to compounded mistakes. Their pitching staff, frequently patched together with aging veterans and unproven arms, struggles particularly against top-tier lineups that create these massive run line scenarios. The franchise's win-now approach has also meant trading away depth for immediate impact, leaving them vulnerable when facing superior teams. Unlike successful underdogs who rely on fundamentals and opportunistic play, the Angels have depended on individual brilliance that rarely materializes against elite competition. This trend matters most when the Angels face playoff contenders in crucial late-season series, where their structural limitations are exposed against teams built for sustained excellence.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Los Angeles Angels have a 2-145-0 ATS record when playing as large underdogs of +7.5 runs or more from 2014-2024. This translates to just a 1.4% win rate against the spread in these situations.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Angels as large underdogs has been highly profitable with an 88.3% ROI over this period. Despite the poor ATS record, the large point spreads and occasional wins have generated strong returns for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover large spreads at rates closer to 45-50%. The Angels' extreme struggles as heavy underdogs make them a notable fade candidate in these spots.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.