Los Angeles Angels Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Los Angeles Angels are just 64-73-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-6-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2016 | 7-8-0 | 0.0% | -10.9% |
| 2017 | 7-8-0 | 0.0% | -10.9% |
| 2018 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2019 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2020 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2021 | 7-7-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 7-11-0 | 0.0% | -25.8% |
| 2023 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Angels' struggles against division rivals at home stem from a perfect storm of psychological pressure and strategic disadvantages that have plagued the franchise for years. Playing in the competitive AL West means facing teams like Houston, Seattle, and Texas that know Angel Stadium intimately and have specifically game-planned against Los Angeles' pitching tendencies and offensive approach. The psychological weight of performing in front of home crowds against familiar foes often amplifies the Angels' existing issues with clutch hitting and late-game execution. Angel Stadium's dimensions and playing conditions actually favor many of their division rivals' strengths while exposing the Angels' weaknesses. The ballpark's spacious foul territory benefits opposing pitchers, while the Angels' historically inconsistent bullpen faces heightened pressure in tight divisional games where every win carries extra weight in standings races. The franchise's inability to develop consistent starting pitching depth becomes magnified when facing division opponents who've seen their rotation multiple times throughout the season. Smart bettors should fade the Angels as home favorites against division rivals, particularly in series-deciding games where the psychological pressure peaks. This trend carries the most weight during the final two months of the season when divisional matchups intensify and the Angels' organizational shortcomings become most apparent under playoff race pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Los Angeles Angels have a 64-73-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.7% cover rate over 137 games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Angels as home favorites against division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -10.8% ROI. This poor performance has resulted in consistent losses for bettors over the 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 46.7% ATS rate is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The negative ROI indicates the Angels consistently fail to cover spreads in this specific situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.