Los Angeles Angels Home Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Los Angeles Angels are just 19-78-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -62.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +62.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 0-14-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2019 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2020 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2022 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2023 | 3-10-0 | 0.0% | -55.9% |
| 2024 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Angels' dismal performance as home favorites following losses reveals a franchise plagued by psychological fragility and systemic organizational issues. When favored at home after a defeat, this team consistently crumbles under the weight of expectations, suggesting poor mental preparation and leadership deficiencies that have persisted across multiple coaching staffs and roster iterations. The Angels' reliance on individual star power rather than cohesive team chemistry becomes particularly exposed in these bounce-back situations. Their offensive approach often becomes overly aggressive as they press to compensate for the previous loss, leading to poor plate discipline and rally-killing at-bats. Meanwhile, their pitching staff - historically inconsistent beyond their ace starters - tends to compound pressure by falling behind early, forcing the offense into desperate situations. The franchise's chronic inability to develop clutch performers and reliable role players manifests most clearly in these high-expectation scenarios. Role players who might perform adequately in low-pressure situations often shrink when the team needs a response, while star players feel additional burden to carry the entire roster. This trend carries maximum betting value during divisional games and series openers, when public perception inflates the Angels' odds despite their documented inability to deliver in these specific circumstances.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?
The Los Angeles Angels have an ATS record of 19-78-0 (19.6% win rate) when playing as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst situational betting trends in baseball over this period.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as home favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Angels as home favorites after a loss has been extremely unprofitable with a -62.6% ROI. This trend has consistently lost money for bettors over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 48-52% of spreads in similar situations. The Angels' 19.6% cover rate in this spot is exceptionally poor compared to MLB norms.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.