The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Los Angeles Angels are just 207-212-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.7%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record207-212-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size419 games
ROI-5.7%
Units Won-23.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201421-21-00.0%-4.5%
201518-14-00.0%+7.4%
201623-20-00.0%+2.1%
201721-27-00.0%-16.5%
201817-19-00.0%-9.8%
201917-17-00.0%-4.5%
202022-21-00.0%-2.3%
202121-21-00.0%-4.5%
202214-18-00.0%-16.5%
202315-17-00.0%-10.5%
202418-17-00.0%-1.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Angels' mediocre home performance against the spread reflects deeper organizational challenges that have plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. Despite having elite talent like Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the team has consistently struggled to build complete rosters, often fielding strong offensive lineups with subpar pitching staffs. This imbalance creates inflated expectations at Angel Stadium, where oddsmakers and the public overvalue the star power while overlooking fundamental weaknesses. The psychological burden of playing at home has been particularly pronounced for Angels teams carrying playoff expectations that rarely materialize. Home crowds expect dominance from their superstars, yet the supporting cast frequently fails to deliver, leading to inconsistent performances that don't match the betting lines. The organization's inability to develop reliable starting pitching depth has been especially costly in home games, where fans anticipate their aces to dominate but instead witness blown leads and early exits. Smart bettors should be wary of backing the Angels at home when they're favored by more than a run, particularly in series where their rotation depth is tested. This trend becomes most critical during summer months when pitching fatigue exposes their lack of organizational depth and home expectations reach their peak.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as home games?

The Los Angeles Angels have gone 207-212-0 against the spread in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.4% ATS win rate over 419 total home games during this period.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as home games profitable?

No, betting on the Angels at home has not been profitable, showing a -5.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Angels to cover the spread in their home games.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Angels' 49.4% home ATS win rate is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. Their -5.7% ROI indicates below-average performance compared to typical MLB home team ATS trends.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.