The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Los Angeles Angels are just 18-89-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -67.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +67.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record18-89-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size107 games
ROI-67.9%
Units Won-72.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-4-00.0%-36.4%
20153-15-00.0%-68.2%
20163-13-00.0%-64.2%
20171-3-00.0%-52.3%
20180-9-00.0%-100.0%
20190-6-00.0%-100.0%
20202-9-00.0%-65.3%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20222-11-00.0%-70.6%
20233-9-00.0%-52.3%
20241-7-00.0%-76.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Angels' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of organizational instability and psychological fragility that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. When this team loses on the road, they carry that negative momentum into the next game rather than responding with the urgency expected from a favored club. The Angels have consistently lacked the veteran leadership and mental toughness required to bounce back in hostile environments, particularly when the betting market expects them to perform. This pattern reflects deeper structural issues within the organization. Despite having generational talents like Mike Trout and previously Shohei Ohtani, the Angels have repeatedly failed to build complete rosters around their stars. Their pitching staff has been notoriously unreliable on the road, and when they're expected to win as favorites after already disappointing fans and bettors, the pressure amplifies their weaknesses. The team's inability to develop a winning culture shows most prominently in these exact scenarios where resilience matters most. Smart bettors should aggressively fade the Angels in this spot, especially when the line seems generous relative to their recent form. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when the Angels are mathematically eliminated from playoff contention but oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to their mental checkout.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Los Angeles Angels have an 18-89-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 16.8% win rate against the spread in this situation.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Angels as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -67.9% ROI. This trend has resulted in significant losses for bettors over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below league average, as most teams typically perform around 50% ATS. The Angels' 16.8% win rate in this situation represents one of the worst trends in baseball.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.