The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Los Angeles Angels are just 42-185-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -64.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +64.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record42-185-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size227 games
ROI-64.7%
Units Won-146.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-14-00.0%-42.7%
20155-24-00.0%-67.1%
20167-20-00.0%-50.5%
20171-10-00.0%-82.6%
20185-18-00.0%-58.5%
20190-15-00.0%-100.0%
20203-17-00.0%-71.4%
20211-9-00.0%-80.9%
20222-20-00.0%-82.6%
20237-20-00.0%-50.5%
20245-18-00.0%-58.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Angels' disastrous performance as road favorites stems from a fundamental organizational issue: they've consistently been built as a home-run dependent, offense-first team that struggles to manufacture runs in hostile environments. When Vegas makes them road favorites, it's typically based on their offensive firepower and star players like Mike Trout, but this creates a dangerous betting trap. Road favorites in baseball need reliable pitching and situational hitting to cover spreads away from home, two areas where the Angels have been chronically deficient. The psychological burden of being favored on the road has exposed their lack of clutch gene and poor bullpen management. Angels hitters often press when expected to perform in enemy territory, leading to feast-or-famine offensive outputs that rarely align with the run lines they're laying. Their pitching staff, historically weak beyond their top starter, gets exposed more readily when facing lineup adjustments from opposing managers who know their home ballpark intimately. The most actionable insight here is simple: fade the Angels as road favorites, especially in divisional games where familiarity breeds contempt. This trend matters most when they're favored by 1.5 runs or more on the road against teams with solid home records, as the margin for error becomes impossibly thin for a franchise that consistently underperforms in pressure spots.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as away favorite?

The Los Angeles Angels have a 42-185-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 42 out of 227 games. This represents an extremely poor 18.5% cover rate over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Los Angeles Angels as away favorites is highly unprofitable with a -64.7% ROI. This means bettors would have lost approximately 65 cents for every dollar wagered on Angels away favorites during this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads over time. The Angels' 18.5% cover rate as away favorites represents one of the worst situational trends in recent MLB betting history.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.