The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Kansas City Royals are just 166-182-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record166-182-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size350 games
ROI-8.9%
Units Won-31.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-11-10.0%-14.1%
201519-13-10.0%+13.3%
201615-19-00.0%-15.8%
201717-20-00.0%-12.3%
201821-18-00.0%+2.8%
201916-18-00.0%-10.2%
202011-16-00.0%-22.2%
202112-14-00.0%-11.9%
202213-24-00.0%-32.9%
202317-14-00.0%+4.7%
202416-15-00.0%-1.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' struggles against the spread versus conference opponents stems from their tendency to be overvalued by oddsmakers in divisional matchups, particularly during their competitive windows. Kansas City's small-market approach creates feast-or-famine cycles where public perception lags behind actual performance shifts. When the Royals field competitive rosters, bettors and bookmakers often overestimate their familiarity advantage within the American League, leading to inflated lines that fail to account for their inconsistent offensive production. The organization's developmental philosophy compounds this issue. Kansas City frequently promotes young talent mid-season, creating roster volatility that makes them difficult to handicap accurately against familiar opponents who have extensive scouting reports. Their pitching staff's tendency toward inconsistency - whether due to inexperience or aging veterans - becomes magnified in conference play where opposing hitters see them multiple times per season. The recent positive trend suggests improved roster construction, but bettors should remain cautious when Kansas City faces division rivals as road favorites. The market still hasn't fully adjusted to their competitive resurgence, creating potential value on opponents who know the Royals' tendencies intimately. This trend matters most during the final six weeks of the season when divisional familiarity peaks and Kansas City's young players face increased pressure in meaningful games.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as vs conference opponent?

The Kansas City Royals have a 166-182-2 ATS record when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.7% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as vs conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Kansas City Royals against conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -8.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Royals in these matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Royals' 47.7% ATS win rate against conference opponents is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Their -8.9% ROI suggests they've been consistently overvalued by oddsmakers in divisional play.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.