The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Kansas City Royals are just 59-64-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record59-64-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size124 games
ROI-8.4%
Units Won-10.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-4-10.0%-18.2%
20158-5-00.0%+17.5%
20167-4-00.0%+21.5%
20176-7-00.0%-11.9%
20184-11-00.0%-49.1%
20194-8-00.0%-36.4%
20207-8-00.0%-10.9%
20215-7-00.0%-20.4%
20225-7-00.0%-20.4%
20236-2-00.0%+43.2%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' struggles on one day of rest stem from their organizational philosophy that has historically prioritized player development and long-term health over short-term competitive advantages. Kansas City's front office has consistently maintained conservative approaches to pitcher usage and roster management, often treating these compressed schedule situations as opportunities to rest key veterans or evaluate younger players rather than maximize win probability. The team's bullpen construction plays a crucial role in these scenarios. The Royals have frequently carried relief corps built around specific role definitions rather than flexible, high-leverage arms who can handle increased workloads. When facing the tactical adjustments required on shortened rest, their relievers often struggle with the altered usage patterns, leading to late-game collapses that hurt both straight-up wins and run line coverage. Kansas City's offensive approach compounds these issues. The franchise has traditionally emphasized contact hitting and situational baseball over power production, creating lineups that struggle to overcome early deficits when their pitching falters. This style requires precise execution and timing that becomes more difficult when players are managing fatigue from compressed scheduling. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when heat and humidity in Kansas City amplify the physical toll of shortened recovery time.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as one day rest?

The Kansas City Royals have an ATS record of 59-64-1 when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.0% ATS win rate over 124 games.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as one day rest profitable?

No, betting on the Kansas City Royals on one day of rest is not profitable. The team shows a negative ROI of -8.4% with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below league average, as most teams typically hover around 50% ATS. The Royals' 48.0% ATS rate and significant negative ROI indicate they consistently underperform expectations when playing on one day of rest.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.