Kansas City Royals Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Kansas City Royals hold a record of 110-35-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +44.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $65 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-7-1 | 0.0% | +24.1% |
| 2015 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2016 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2017 | 12-3-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2018 | 10-5-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 10-5-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 13-2-0 | 0.0% | +65.5% |
| 2021 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2022 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2023 | 13-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Royals' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of grinding out wins when expectations are lowered. This franchise has historically thrived when playing with house money, particularly during their championship runs when they developed an identity around small-ball execution and late-game heroics. When oddsmakers slot them in this range, it typically reflects matchups against superior pitching or more talented lineups, but Kansas City's approach neutralizes these advantages through disciplined at-bats and opportunistic baserunning. The psychological element cannot be understated. Medium underdog status often coincides with the Royals facing division rivals or playoff contenders where they elevate their intensity. Their pitching staff, whether featuring elite closers during championship years or developing arms in rebuilding phases, tends to keep games close enough for their offense to manufacture runs through situational hitting and aggressive baserunning that catches opponents off-guard. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Kansas City enters these spots with their regular lineup intact, as their system-based approach requires familiarity and chemistry to execute effectively. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and interleague play where their unconventional style creates the greatest mismatch against teams expecting traditional offensive approaches.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Kansas City Royals have an outstanding 110-35-1 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a 75.3% cover rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Royals as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 44.8% ROI. This exceptional return demonstrates strong value in backing Kansas City when they're moderate underdogs.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS with minimal ROI. The Royals' 75.3% cover rate and 44.8% ROI in this spot represents elite contrarian value.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.