Kansas City Royals Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Kansas City Royals are just 59-71-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-6-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 6-6-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 4-9-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
| 2018 | 6-9-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2020 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2021 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2022 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2023 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2024 | 4-9-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Royals' struggles against division rivals at home stem from a combination of familiarity breeding contempt and organizational instability during their rebuild years. Division opponents have extensive scouting reports on Kansas City's tendencies at Kauffman Stadium, from bullpen usage patterns to how their hitters approach the ballpark's spacious dimensions. The AL Central rivals know exactly how to exploit the Royals' home field advantages, particularly neutralizing their speed game on the warning track-heavy outfield. Kansas City's inconsistent roster construction during their post-2015 championship window created additional vulnerabilities. Division teams could game-plan effectively knowing the Royals lacked reliable late-game options and depth pieces that typically provide home field advantages. The psychological pressure of needing to defend home turf against familiar foes often led to pressing, especially during their down years when every divisional game carried extra weight for fan engagement and organizational credibility. The most telling factor is how division rivals adjusted to Kauffman Stadium's pitcher-friendly environment while the Royals failed to maximize their own ballpark's characteristics. Smart bettors should pay particular attention to this trend during early-season divisional series when teams are still establishing rhythm and the Royals historically show their rustiest home form against familiar opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Kansas City Royals have gone 59-71-0 against the spread when playing at home versus division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.4% ATS win rate over 130 games.
Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Kansas City Royals at home against division rivals has not been profitable. The -13.4% ROI indicates significant losses for bettors backing Kansas City in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The 45.4% win rate and negative ROI suggest the Royals consistently underperform expectations in home divisional matchups.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.