The public often underestimates the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Kansas City Royals hold a record of 78-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +53.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $52 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record78-19-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size97 games
ROI+53.5%
Units Won+51.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-1-00.0%+59.1%
20158-1-00.0%+69.7%
20167-1-00.0%+67.0%
20177-0-00.0%+90.9%
201814-2-00.0%+67.0%
20196-5-00.0%+4.1%
20205-2-00.0%+36.4%
202110-1-00.0%+73.5%
20224-3-00.0%+9.1%
20238-2-00.0%+52.7%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' exceptional performance as home underdogs following wins stems from a perfect storm of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. Kansas City thrives on the confidence boost that comes from recent success, particularly at Kauffman Stadium where their aggressive baserunning and small-ball approach plays exceptionally well on the spacious dimensions. The organization has consistently developed scrappy, resilient players who embrace the underdog mentality rather than crumble under it. Market makers often overreact to the Royals' perceived weaknesses, particularly their inconsistent starting rotation and limited offensive firepower compared to larger-market teams. However, this creates value when Kansas City enters these spots with positive momentum. The team's bullpen depth and defensive fundamentals become magnified advantages in tight home games, while opponents frequently underestimate their ability to manufacture runs through situational hitting and aggressive base running. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Kansas City's recent win came against quality opposition or featured strong pitching performance, as these victories tend to carry the most psychological weight into the next game. This trend matters most during summer months when the Royals' young players have found their rhythm and Kauffman Stadium's expansive outfield neutralizes opposing power hitters.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Kansas City Royals have an outstanding 78-19-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents an 80.4% ATS win rate over 97 total games.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Kansas City Royals as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 53.5% ROI. This trend has generated consistent returns over the 11-year period from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 80.4% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. The Royals' performance in this specific situation ranks among the most profitable betting trends in MLB.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.