Kansas City Royals As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Kansas City Royals are just 72-363-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -68.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +68.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-25-0 | 0.0% | -73.7% |
| 2015 | 4-32-1 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2016 | 5-34-0 | 0.0% | -75.5% |
| 2017 | 9-33-0 | 0.0% | -59.1% |
| 2018 | 10-39-0 | 0.0% | -61.0% |
| 2019 | 7-35-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2020 | 3-34-0 | 0.0% | -84.5% |
| 2021 | 10-29-0 | 0.0% | -51.0% |
| 2022 | 3-38-0 | 0.0% | -86.0% |
| 2023 | 8-27-0 | 0.0% | -56.4% |
| 2024 | 9-37-0 | 0.0% | -62.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Royals' disastrous performance as favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and actual team strength during their prolonged rebuilding phase. When oddsmakers install Kansas City as favorites, it typically occurs against equally struggling opponents or in favorable pitching matchups, creating inflated expectations that the team consistently fails to meet. The psychological burden of being favored weighs heavily on a franchise that has spent most of the last decade in rebuilding mode. Young players and inconsistent veterans often press when expected to win, leading to poor execution in crucial moments. Kansas City's offensive inconsistency becomes magnified in these spots, as they struggle to generate runs against opponents who raise their intensity when facing a "better" team. The Royals' bullpen volatility has been particularly damaging in favorite situations. Late-inning leads evaporate regularly, turning what should be comfortable wins into devastating losses that crush both the team's confidence and bettors' bankrolls. Their home field advantage at Kauffman Stadium has also proven negligible during this stretch. Bettors should aggressively fade Kansas City as favorites, particularly in divisional games where familiarity breeds competitive balance. This trend matters most when the Royals are favored by less than 1.5 runs against American League Central opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as as favorite?
The Kansas City Royals have an ATS record of 72-363-1 when favored from 2014-2024. This represents a 16.5% cover rate over 436 games where they were the betting favorite.
Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Kansas City Royals as favorites is highly unprofitable with a -68.4% ROI. This means bettors would lose approximately 68 cents for every dollar wagered on Kansas City when they're favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as MLB favorites typically cover around 50% of the time. The Royals' 16.5% cover rate as favorites represents one of the worst ATS records for any team in this situation over this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.