Kansas City Royals Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Kansas City Royals are just 15-85-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -71.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +71.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-10-0 | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 2015 | 0-8-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-9-0 | 0.0% | -80.9% |
| 2017 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2018 | 2-12-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2019 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 1-13-0 | 0.0% | -86.4% |
| 2023 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2024 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Royals' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a fundamental mismatch between their organizational identity and the psychological demands of bouncing back in hostile environments. Kansas City has historically been built around small-ball tactics, strong defense, and pitching depth rather than explosive offensive firepower. When they lose a game, especially on the road, their methodical approach often fails to generate the immediate momentum needed to justify favorite status in the next contest. The psychological weight of road favorite status compounds this issue. Teams expecting Kansas City to win are often betting against a club that thrives as an underdog but wilts under pressure to perform. The Royals' roster construction typically lacks the star power to single-handedly flip games, making them vulnerable when oddsmakers overvalue their chances based on recent success or matchup advantages that don't account for their mental fragility after setbacks. Their recent organizational rebuild has done little to address this core weakness, as young players often struggle more acutely with the pressure of being favored away from home following disappointing performances. Bettors should target Kansas City's opponents in these spots, particularly when the Royals are small road favorites (-110 to -140) after dropping a close game, as the market consistently overestimates their ability to respond with authority.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Kansas City Royals have a 15-85-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 15% ATS win rate over 100 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Kansas City Royals as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -71.4% ROI. This represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Royals' 15% ATS rate in this spot is exceptionally poor and well below typical MLB standards.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.