The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Kansas City Royals are just 42-174-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -62.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +62.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record42-174-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size217 games
ROI-62.9%
Units Won-135.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-14-00.0%-76.1%
20152-17-10.0%-79.9%
20162-16-00.0%-78.8%
20174-11-00.0%-49.1%
20187-19-00.0%-48.6%
20195-15-00.0%-52.3%
20203-13-00.0%-64.2%
20217-13-00.0%-33.2%
20222-21-00.0%-83.4%
20233-14-00.0%-66.3%
20245-21-00.0%-63.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' historically poor performance as away favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and their actual road capabilities. Kansas City has operated as a small-market franchise with limited payroll flexibility for most of the past decade, making it difficult to build the kind of consistent, deep roster needed to justify favorite status on the road. When the betting market installs them as favorites away from Kauffman Stadium, it typically reflects either inflated expectations based on recent home success or favorable matchups against struggling opponents that don't account for Kansas City's road struggles. The psychological burden of being favored compounds these issues. The Royals have historically thrived as underdogs, playing loose and aggressive baseball when expectations are low. As road favorites, they face the dual pressure of performing in hostile environments while carrying the weight of market confidence they haven't consistently earned. Their roster construction has also favored contact hitters and defensive specialists who benefit more from familiar home conditions and supportive crowds. For bettors, this trend represents one of baseball's most reliable fade opportunities when Kansas City is installed as a road favorite against teams with respectable home records. This pattern holds particular significance during divisional road series and when the Royals are favored by more than a run away from home.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as away favorite?

The Kansas City Royals have a 42-174-1 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 42 of 217 games. This represents an extremely poor 19.4% ATS win rate in this situation.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Kansas City Royals as away favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -62.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 63 cents for every dollar wagered on Kansas City in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Royals' 19.4% cover rate as away favorites represents one of the worst trends in sports betting during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.