The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Kansas City Royals are just 194-205-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record194-205-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size401 games
ROI-7.2%
Units Won-28.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201414-11-10.0%+6.9%
201520-20-10.0%-4.5%
201615-13-00.0%+2.3%
201726-18-00.0%+12.8%
201826-18-00.0%+12.8%
201913-24-00.0%-32.9%
202011-24-00.0%-40.0%
202122-17-00.0%+7.7%
202211-21-00.0%-34.4%
202320-17-00.0%+3.2%
202416-22-00.0%-19.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' struggles as favorites after victories reveal a franchise caught between modest expectations and the psychological weight of success. Kansas City operates with one of baseball's smaller payrolls, meaning their roster construction relies heavily on overachieving role players and young talent. When these players taste success, the natural human tendency is to ease up slightly, creating a vulnerability that sharper bettors consistently exploit. The team's organizational culture, while admirable for its blue-collar approach, lacks the championship-level depth that sustains momentum after wins. Unlike powerhouse franchises with veteran leadership and proven systems, the Royals often ride emotional highs that lead to mental lapses the following game. Their pitching staff, frequently patched together with journeymen and prospects, particularly struggles with the pressure of protecting leads as betting favorites. The psychological factor compounds when Kansas City faces division rivals who know their tendencies intimately. Teams like the White Sox and Twins have consistently capitalized on the Royals' post-victory complacency, understanding that Kansas City's limited margin for error becomes even thinner when expectations rise. This trend carries the most weight during summer stretches when the Royals string together wins against weaker opponents, creating inflated lines that savvy bettors can attack with confidence.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as after a win?

The Kansas City Royals have an ATS record of 194-205-2 (48.4%) when betting on them after a win from 2014-2024. This represents 401 total games with 2 pushes over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Kansas City Royals after a win is not profitable, showing a -7.2% ROI over the past 11 seasons. This negative return indicates consistent losses when backing the Royals in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the typical 50% break-even point for ATS betting and likely underperforms the league average. The -7.2% ROI suggests the Royals are consistently overvalued by oddsmakers following victories.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.