Houston Astros vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Houston Astros show mixed results as vs division opponent. Since 2014, they're 138-129-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.3%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-14-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 15-13-0 | 0.0% | +2.3% |
| 2016 | 17-15-0 | 0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2017 | 6-15-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2018 | 9-12-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2019 | 16-8-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 14-10-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2021 | 9-16-0 | 0.0% | -31.3% |
| 2022 | 14-12-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2023 | 14-5-0 | 0.0% | +40.7% |
| 2024 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Astros' divisional performance reflects the intense familiarity and strategic chess matches that define AL West competition. Houston's analytical approach to baseball, built around advanced metrics and situational matchups, becomes both an asset and liability when facing the same opponents 19 times per season. Division rivals have extensive video libraries and scouting reports on Houston's tendencies, particularly their aggressive approach against left-handed pitching and reliance on specific bullpen usage patterns in late innings. Houston's recent hot streak suggests they've adapted their divisional strategy, likely stemming from their deeper roster construction and improved bullpen depth. The Astros historically struggle early in divisional series when opponents can exploit their predictable lineup construction, but they tend to adjust effectively as series progress. Their home-field advantage at Minute Maid Park becomes magnified in divisional play, where visiting teams must navigate the unique dimensions and atmospheric conditions they rarely experience elsewhere. The key betting insight centers on series positioning and rest advantages. Houston performs significantly better in divisional matchups when they've had adequate rest and can deploy their optimal rotation alignment. This trend carries the most weight during the final six weeks of the regular season, when divisional games carry playoff implications and Houston's veteran leadership typically elevates their performance against familiar opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Houston Astros have a 138-129-0 record against the spread when facing division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.7% ATS win rate over 267 total games.
Is betting on the Houston Astros as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Astros against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -1.3% ROI despite their slightly above .500 ATS record. The negative return indicates bettors would have lost money over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Astros' 51.7% ATS win rate against division opponents is slightly above the break-even point of 50% but below what's typically needed for long-term profitability. Most successful betting strategies require at least 52.4% ATS to overcome standard betting juice.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.