The public often underestimates the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as underdog on 3+ win streak, the Houston Astros hold a record of 363-68-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $263 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record363-68-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size432 games
ROI+60.8%
Units Won+262.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201438-5-00.0%+68.7%
201535-10-10.0%+48.5%
201637-6-00.0%+64.3%
201733-6-00.0%+61.5%
201828-8-00.0%+48.5%
201935-8-00.0%+55.4%
202036-4-00.0%+71.8%
202127-5-00.0%+61.1%
202230-5-00.0%+63.6%
202331-3-00.0%+74.1%
202433-8-00.0%+53.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Astros' exceptional performance as underdogs during winning streaks stems from their organizational culture of resilience and analytical precision. When Houston finds themselves in the underdog role while riding momentum, they benefit from a perfect storm of reduced pressure and heightened focus. The team's front office has consistently built rosters with veteran leadership and clutch performers who thrive when expectations are lowered, allowing their superior talent evaluation and in-game adjustments to shine through. Houston's pitching development system produces arms that consistently outperform their perceived value, particularly when the betting public underestimates them during hot streaks. The Astros' hitters also demonstrate remarkable plate discipline and situational awareness, traits that become magnified when oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to their recent success. Their ability to manufacture runs through small ball tactics often catches opponents off-guard when they're expected to struggle. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Houston's underdog status conflicts with their underlying metrics during these streaks. Look for spots where their recent dominance hasn't been fully priced into the line, particularly against division rivals who may be overvalued. This trend carries the most weight in mid-season series where Houston faces quality opponents but recent struggles have temporarily deflated their market perception.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as underdog on 3+ win streak?

The Houston Astros have an outstanding 363-68-1 ATS record when they are underdogs on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 84.3% ATS win rate in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Houston Astros as underdog on 3+ win streak profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Astros as underdogs on a 3+ win streak has been extremely profitable with a 60.8% ROI. This trend has generated consistent profits over the 10-year period from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 84.3% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 50-52% league average for ATS betting. The Astros' performance in this situation represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.