The public often underestimates the Detroit Tigers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Detroit Tigers hold a record of 123-23-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $89 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record123-23-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size146 games
ROI+60.8%
Units Won+88.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-6-00.0%+27.3%
201521-3-00.0%+67.0%
20166-2-00.0%+43.2%
20178-2-00.0%+52.7%
201819-1-00.0%+81.4%
20197-1-00.0%+67.0%
20205-1-00.0%+59.1%
202111-0-00.0%+90.9%
202212-3-00.0%+52.7%
20239-0-00.0%+90.9%
202413-4-00.0%+46.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Tigers' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a gritty, fundamentally sound team that thrives when expectations are lowered. Detroit's pitching staff historically excels in these spots because they can attack the strike zone more aggressively against lineups that might be pressing to justify their favored status. The team's veteran leadership core has consistently embraced the underdog mentality, leading to focused preparation and execution when facing supposedly superior opponents. Detroit's offensive approach becomes particularly effective in medium underdog situations because they've built their lineup around patient hitters who work counts and capitalize on mistakes. When facing teams expected to win by 4-6 runs, opposing pitchers often fall into the trap of trying to dominate rather than simply execute, leading to walks and hittable counts that Detroit's disciplined hitters exploit ruthlessly. The psychological edge cannot be understated - this franchise has cultivated a blue-collar identity that resonates when they're written off but not completely dismissed. Medium underdog spots represent the sweet spot where Detroit feels disrespected enough to play with edge while still believing they belong on the field. This trend carries the most weight during divisional play and against teams with inflated public perception, particularly when Detroit's starting pitcher has a history of stepping up in big moments.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Tigers's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Detroit Tigers have an ATS record of 123-23-0 when playing as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 84.2% ATS win rate over 146 games.

Is betting on the Detroit Tigers as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Detroit Tigers as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 60.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This means a $100 bet on each game would have returned $60.80 in profit over this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Tigers' 84.2% ATS rate as medium underdogs represents one of the strongest betting trends in sports.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.